Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 349.821202 396.565783 448.456631 510.547093 583.101701 665.537542 766.764635
2025-10-05 288.920962 352.606089 429.827415 531.278197 662.414493 828.078369 1056.200666
2025-10-12 257.746885 330.491857 424.139039 555.428374 737.802269 986.826018 1360.806689
2025-10-19 228.923234 304.908577 407.381185 558.619609 781.261391 1105.376164 1629.114955
2025-10-26 201.875332 277.191984 382.641961 544.959152 795.722486 1181.096525 1844.501672
2025-11-02 181.524151 255.947938 363.629890 535.689304 813.300522 1261.585737 2080.129181
2025-11-09 170.771574 247.106931 361.179978 550.343920 869.191200 1410.772729 2462.209553
2025-11-16 157.641730 233.133517 349.069653 547.520505 894.912793 1511.743406 2776.665155
2025-11-23 145.488947 219.375706 335.653206 540.472193 911.598690 1598.138198 3080.281704
2025-11-30 136.808432 210.227204 328.567215 543.005669 945.180548 1720.610160 3485.380617
2025-12-07 126.848067 198.081813 315.269801 532.857933 953.334476 1794.085195 3799.739240
2025-12-14 119.160153 189.029615 306.304408 529.370411 973.508577 1894.785797 4201.079493
2025-12-21 108.793571 174.833421 287.531952 506.232639 952.712905 1908.056614 4400.521914
2025-12-28 105.922136 173.309905 290.998063 525.906627 1022.798453 2134.409071 5214.381686
2026-01-04 103.821440 172.912045 296.366877 549.814829 1105.459928 2406.367849 6243.774068
2026-01-11 99.107400 167.427598 291.778279 552.965164 1142.633874 2576.325550 7035.094829
2026-01-18 92.747750 158.461309 279.834110 539.468334 1139.666481 2644.513801 7533.546280
2026-01-25 87.461182 151.112766 270.406721 530.308987 1145.637989 2737.448795 8147.322989
2026-02-01 85.257257 149.389318 271.812892 544.788742 1211.055815 3005.584921 9475.061645
2026-02-08 81.360589 144.150444 265.767758 541.999084 1232.899399 3155.680136 10433.025199
2026-02-15 77.338986 138.401591 258.239035 535.034902 1243.014367 3273.787770 11318.145828
2026-02-22 74.531999 134.848397 254.945790 537.538161 1278.576201 3477.598561 12652.812436
2026-03-01 70.760174 129.138931 246.719093 527.511300 1278.692121 3569.930829 13546.285853